Primera Division · Matchweek 6

Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 15 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Deportivo Alavés win74%
Draw16%
Valencia CF win10%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
2.42 – 0.77

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Deportivo Alavés have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.1%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 3–09.7%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–17.7%
  • 3–17.5%
  • 4–05.9%
  • 4–14.5%

Team comparison

StatisticDeportivo AlavésValencia CF
Matches played67
Points per match1.330.57
Goals per match1.330.57
Goals conceded per match1.001.86
Home / away goals scored62
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points73
Last 5 goals scored74
Last 5 goals conceded512
Win percentage33%14%

Deportivo Alavés recent form

WWLLD

Valencia CF recent form

LLLWL

Recent form

Deportivo Alavés

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
  • Wvs CA Osasuna5–2
  • Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
  • Dat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–1
  • Lvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–2

Valencia CF

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat Sevilla FC0–1
  • Lvs Barcelona0–5
  • Lat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–3
  • Lvs Real Betis Balompié0–1
  • Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 August 2026
Last updated: 15 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.