Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 8
Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 15:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Deportivo Alavés win33%
Draw23%
Atlético Madrid win44%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.50 – 1.76
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Atlético Madrid have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Atlético Madrid's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Atlético Madrid arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.6%
- 0–16.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–26.0%
- 1–05.8%
- 1–35.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Deportivo Alavés | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.29 |
| Goals per match | 1.33 | 2.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 71% |
Deportivo Alavés recent form
WWLLD
Atlético Madrid recent form
WLWWW
Recent form
Deportivo Alavés
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat Athletic Club0–0
- Lvs Valencia CF0–1
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
- Wvs CA Osasuna5–2
- Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
Atlético Madrid
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Real Madrid2–1
- Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
- Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0
- Lat Liverpool FC1–2
- Lat Athletic Club0–3
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.