Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 4
Deportivo Alavés vs CA Osasuna Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 6 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Deportivo Alavés win44%
Draw26%
CA Osasuna win29%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.44 – 1.12
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Deportivo Alavés have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. CA Osasuna have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Deportivo Alavés's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–08.0%
- 0–07.7%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Deportivo Alavés | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| Goals per match | 1.33 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.86 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 29% |
Deportivo Alavés recent form
WWLLD
CA Osasuna recent form
WLLLD
Recent form
Deportivo Alavés
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
- Dat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–1
- Lvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–2
- Wat Real Oviedo1–0
- Wvs Barcelona1–0
CA Osasuna
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Getafe CF1–0
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–1
- Dvs Levante UD0–0
- Lat Getafe CF0–1
- Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.