Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8

CS Marítimo vs FC Porto Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CS Marítimo win5%
Draw9%
FC Porto win86%
Predicted score
0–3
Over 2.5 goals
80%
Under 2.5 goals
20%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
Over 3.5 goals
62%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
0.80 – 3.51

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Porto have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. FC Porto's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. FC Porto arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–39.7%
  • 0–48.6%
  • 0–28.3%
  • 1–37.8%
  • 1–46.9%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 0–56.0%
  • 1–54.8%

Team comparison

StatisticCS MarítimoFC Porto
Matches played99
Points per match0.563.00
Goals per match0.892.56
Goals conceded per match2.330.56
Home / away goals scored312
Home / away goals conceded93
Last 5 points115
Last 5 goals scored312
Last 5 goals conceded133
Win percentage11%100%

CS Marítimo recent form

LDLLL

FC Porto recent form

WWWWW

Recent form

CS Marítimo

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

  • Dat Gil Vicente FC1–1
  • Lat Moreirense FC1–3
  • Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–3
  • Lat FC Arouca1–2
  • Dvs Académico de Viseu FC2–2

FC Porto

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica3–1
  • Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
  • Lvs Manchester City FC0–2
  • Wvs Moreirense FC2–1
  • Wat Académico de Viseu FC3–0

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.