Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8

CS Marítimo vs FC Porto Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CS Marítimo win5%
Draw9%
FC Porto win86%
Predicted score
0–3
Over 2.5 goals
81%
Under 2.5 goals
19%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
Over 3.5 goals
63%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
0.81 – 3.53

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

CS Marítimo have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. FC Porto have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. FC Porto's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–39.7%
  • 0–48.5%
  • 0–28.2%
  • 1–37.8%
  • 1–46.9%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 0–56.0%
  • 1–54.9%

Team comparison

StatisticCS MarítimoFC Porto
Matches played65
Points per match0.833.00
Goals per match1.172.80
Goals conceded per match2.000.60
Home / away goals scored27
Home / away goals conceded51
Last 5 points215
Last 5 goals scored514
Last 5 goals conceded113
Win percentage17%100%

CS Marítimo recent form

DLLLD

FC Porto recent form

WWWWW

Recent form

CS Marítimo

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

  • Dat Gil Vicente FC1–1
  • Lat Moreirense FC1–3
  • Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–3
  • Lat FC Arouca1–2
  • Dvs Académico de Viseu FC2–2

FC Porto

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica3–1
  • Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
  • Lvs Manchester City FC0–2
  • Wvs Moreirense FC2–1
  • Wat Académico de Viseu FC3–0

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.