Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 12
CS Marítimo vs CD Nacional Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 27 Nov, 20:15 (GMT)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CS Marítimo win30%
Draw26%
CD Nacional win43%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.14 – 1.42
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
CS Marítimo have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against CD Nacional, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–27.8%
- 0–07.7%
- 2–17.1%
- 2–25.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CS Marítimo | CD Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.56 | 0.91 |
| Goals per match | 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 1.73 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 1 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 11% | 27% |
CS Marítimo recent form
LDLLL
CD Nacional recent form
LLWLW
Recent form
CS Marítimo
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs CD Santa Clara0–2
- Lat Vitória SC0–5
- Lvs FC Porto1–2
- Dat Gil Vicente FC1–1
- Lat Moreirense FC1–3
CD Nacional
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Académico de Viseu FC1–0
- Lat FC Arouca0–1
- Wvs Sporting Clube de Braga1–0
- Lat Rio Ave FC2–3
- Lvs FC Famalicão0–4
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 27 Nov, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 6 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.