Serie A · Matchweek 4

Como 1907 vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 14 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Como 1907 win72%
Draw17%
Parma Calcio 1913 win11%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
2.32 – 0.79

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Como 1907 have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given Como 1907's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Como 1907, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.0%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 3–09.3%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 4–05.4%
  • 0–04.5%

Team comparison

StatisticComo 1907Parma Calcio 1913
Matches played55
Points per match2.000.80
Goals per match1.800.80
Goals conceded per match1.201.40
Home / away goals scored21
Home / away goals conceded14
Last 5 points104
Last 5 goals scored94
Last 5 goals conceded67
Win percentage60%20%

Como 1907 recent form

DWWWL

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Como 1907

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
  • Wat Genoa CFC4–1
  • Wat SSC Napoli2–1
  • Dat Udinese Calcio1–1
  • Wat US Cremonese4–1

Parma Calcio 1913

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dvs AC Monza1–1
  • Lat Juventus0–2
  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio1–0
  • Lat Como 19070–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 14 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.