UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5

Como 1907 vs PAE AEK Prediction

Tue 24 Nov, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Como 1907 win88%

Draw7%

PAE AEK win5%

Predicted score: 4–1
Over 2.5 goals: 92%
Under 2.5 goals: 8%
BTTS yes: 69%

Over 1.5 goals: 98%
Over 3.5 goals: 81%
BTTS no: 31%
Expected goals: 4.49 – 1.18

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Como 1907 have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. PAE AEK have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Como 1907's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

4–17.2%
5–16.4%
3–16.4%
4–06.1%
5–05.5%
3–05.4%
6–14.8%
2–14.3%

Team comparison

Statistic	Como 1907	PAE AEK
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	2.25	0.75
Goals per match	4.75	1.25
Goals conceded per match	1.50	2.75
Home / away goals scored	8	2
Home / away goals conceded	2	8
Last 5 points	9	3
Last 5 goals scored	19	5
Last 5 goals conceded	6	11
Win percentage	75%	25%

Como 1907 recent form

WLWW

PAE AEK recent form

WLLL

Recent form

Como 1907

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 4 conceded

Lat Inter Milan0–2
Wat Racing Club de Lens9–1
Wvs Venezia FC1–0
Wat Torino FC3–1
Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–0

PAE AEK

1W 0D 3L in the last 4 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

Lvs Real Madrid2–3
Lat Manchester City FC1–5
Lat FK Shakhtar Donetsk1–3
Wvs LASK Linz1–0

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.