UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5

Atlético Madrid vs Viking FK Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
Kick-off (local)
Wed 25 Nov, 21:00 (CET)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
Madrid, Spain

United Matchday prediction

Atlético Madrid win54%
Draw21%
Viking FK win25%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.32

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Atlético Madrid have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Atlético Madrid's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–07.0%
  • 3–16.5%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 3–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticAtlético MadridViking FK
Matches played44
Points per match1.001.00
Goals per match1.002.25
Goals conceded per match1.252.50
Home / away goals scored22
Home / away goals conceded26
Last 5 points44
Last 5 goals scored49
Last 5 goals conceded510
Win percentage25%25%

Atlético Madrid recent form

LWDL

Viking FK recent form

LDLW

Recent form

Atlético Madrid

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs Barcelona1–2
  • Lvs Bayern Munich0–2
  • Wat Levante UD2–0
  • Wvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–0
  • Dat VfB Stuttgart1–1

Viking FK

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs Sabah FK4–1
  • Lat Aston Villa FC1–3
  • Dvs Bayern Munich3–3
  • Lat VfB Stuttgart1–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.