Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 7
Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 15:15 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 20 Sept, 16:15 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Atlético Madrid win46%
Draw22%
Real Madrid win32%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 69%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS no
- 31%
- Expected goals
- 1.97 – 1.62
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Atlético Madrid have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Real Madrid have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Real Madrid's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.8%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–27.0%
- 3–15.7%
- 1–05.4%
- 2–05.3%
- 3–24.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Atlético Madrid | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 2.33 | 2.50 |
| Goals per match | 1.92 | 2.58 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 14 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 75% | 83% |
Atlético Madrid recent form
WWWWL
Real Madrid recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
- Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0
- Lat Liverpool FC1–2
- Lat Athletic Club0–3
- Wat Sevilla FC3–1
Real Madrid
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat Elche CF3–2
- Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
- Wvs Inter Milan2–1
- Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
- Wvs Málaga CF4–0
Team news
Real Madrid
- Arsenal's Martin Zubimendi denies wanting to leave amid Atlético Madrid links
- Real Madrid pushing for JJ Gabriel as saga continues - Manchester United Academy Notebook
- JJ Gabriel comment ‘shocks Real Madrid’ as concern raised about Man United star’s dad
- Transfer rumors, news: Atlético Madrid weigh move for Jack Grealish
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 31%
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CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.