UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2

Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
Madrid, Spain

United Matchday prediction

Atlético Madrid win36%
Draw21%
Manchester United FC win43%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
1.89 – 2.06

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Manchester United FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Manchester United FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.7%
  • 1–17.5%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 1–35.3%
  • 2–35.0%
  • 3–24.6%
  • 3–14.5%

Team comparison

StatisticAtlético MadridManchester United FC
Matches played11
Points per match0.003.00
Goals per match1.004.00
Goals conceded per match2.000.00
Home / away goals scored00
Home / away goals conceded00
Last 5 points03
Last 5 goals scored14
Last 5 goals conceded20
Win percentage0%100%

Atlético Madrid recent form

L

Manchester United FC recent form

W

Recent form

Atlético Madrid

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Real Madrid2–1
  • Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
  • Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0
  • Lat Liverpool FC1–2
  • Lat Athletic Club0–3

Manchester United FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Fulham FC1–1
  • Lvs Manchester City FC0–1
  • Wvs Sabah FK4–0
  • Dat Everton FC2–2
  • Wvs Ipswich Town FC5–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.