UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool FC
Home
46%
Draw
17%
Away
37%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 93%BTTS: 89%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2
Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Atlético Madrid win36%
Draw21%
Manchester United FC win43%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 1.89 – 2.06
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Manchester United FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Manchester United FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.7%
- 1–17.5%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–35.3%
- 2–35.0%
- 3–24.6%
- 3–14.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Atlético Madrid | Manchester United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 50% |
Atlético Madrid recent form
LWDL
Manchester United FC recent form
WLLW
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
- Wvs Real Madrid2–1
- Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
- Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0
- Lat Liverpool FC1–2
Manchester United FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1–1
- Dat Fulham FC1–1
- Lvs Manchester City FC0–1
- Wvs Sabah FK4–0
- Dat Everton FC2–2
Team news
Manchester United FC
- Man United complete first transfer of Mauricio Pochettino era as wonderkid joins
- Mauricio Pochettino: Man Utd close to agreeing deal with Michael Carrick's potential successor ahead of Monaco
- USA dressing room break silence on Mauricio Pochettino's exit for Manchester United
- Two players Mauricio Pochettino must sign for Man United named and profiled
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 4–1Over 2.5: 92%BTTS: 77%
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.