UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 4

Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Tue 3 Nov, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
Kick-off (local): Tue 3 Nov, 21:00 (CET)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: Madrid, Spain

United Matchday prediction

Atlético Madrid win52%

Draw20%

Bayern Munich win28%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 77%
Under 2.5 goals: 23%
BTTS yes: 74%

Over 1.5 goals: 91%
Over 3.5 goals: 57%
BTTS no: 26%
Expected goals: 2.34 – 1.70

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Bayern Munich's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Bayern Munich arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.2%
1–17.0%
2–27.0%
3–16.4%
1–26.0%
3–25.4%
2–04.8%
1–04.1%

Team comparison

Statistic	Atlético Madrid	Bayern Munich
Matches played	2	2
Points per match	1.50	2.00
Goals per match	1.50	4.00
Goals conceded per match	1.00	1.50
Home / away goals scored	2	3
Home / away goals conceded	0	3
Last 5 points	3	4
Last 5 goals scored	3	8
Last 5 goals conceded	2	3
Win percentage	50%	50%

Atlético Madrid recent form

Bayern Munich recent form

Recent form

Atlético Madrid

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 2 conceded

Wvs Manchester United FC2–0
Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
Wvs Real Madrid2–1
Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0

Bayern Munich

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 19 scored, 6 conceded

Dat Viking FK3–3
Dat FC Augsburg2–2
Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin7–0
Wat SV 07 Elversberg2–1
Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0

Team news

Atlético Madrid

All Atlético Madrid news →

Bayern Munich

Transfer rumors, news: Could Bayern sign Haaland to replace Kane?

All Bayern Munich news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.