Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
58%
Draw
26%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 40%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 12
Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 8 Nov, 21:00 (CET)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Atlético Madrid win25%
Draw18%
Barcelona win57%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 85%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 15%
- BTTS yes
- 80%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 95%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 69%
- BTTS no
- 20%
- Expected goals
- 1.90 – 2.81
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Atlético Madrid, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Barcelona have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Barcelona's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–26.8%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–36.4%
- 2–36.0%
- 1–14.8%
- 2–14.6%
- 1–44.5%
- 2–44.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Atlético Madrid | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 2.44 | 3.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.11 | 4.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.89 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 22 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 22 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 78% | 100% |
Atlético Madrid recent form
WWWWW
Barcelona recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 2 conceded
- Wat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–0
- Wvs Manchester United FC2–0
- Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
- Wvs Real Madrid2–1
- Wvs CA Osasuna4–0
Barcelona
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 22 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Real Betis Balompié5–2
- Wat Galatasaray4–1
- Wvs Getafe CF3–0
- Wat Sevilla FC3–1
- Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander7–2
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 711
- 1X2 accuracy
- 48.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.1%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.5%
- Exact score
- 10.4%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Valencia CF vs Real Madrid
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 50%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Villarreal CF vs Getafe CF
Home
59%
Draw
25%
Away
16%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 41%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
RC Celta de Vigo vs Levante UD
Home
63%
Draw
22%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 47%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.