Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 6
Atlético Madrid vs CA Osasuna Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 16 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Atlético Madrid win67%
Draw17%
CA Osasuna win16%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 55%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 2.66 – 1.26
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against CA Osasuna, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Atlético Madrid's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Atlético Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.9%
- 3–17.9%
- 2–07.0%
- 1–16.7%
- 3–06.2%
- 2–25.6%
- 1–05.3%
- 4–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Atlético Madrid | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 2.29 | 1.14 |
| Goals per match | 2.29 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.86 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 29% |
Atlético Madrid recent form
WLWWW
CA Osasuna recent form
WLLLD
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol3–0
- Lat Liverpool FC1–2
- Lat Athletic Club0–3
- Wat Sevilla FC3–1
- Dvs Villarreal CF2–2
CA Osasuna
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–2
- Lat Deportivo Alavés2–5
- Wvs Getafe CF1–0
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–1
- Dvs Levante UD0–0
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 August 2026
Last updated: 16 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.