Championship · Matchweek 7

Charlton Athletic FC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Charlton Athletic FC win39%
Draw28%
Portsmouth FC win33%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes
46%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
Over 3.5 goals
20%
BTTS no
54%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.08

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Charlton Athletic FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Portsmouth FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–012.3%
  • 0–111.0%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 0–25.9%

Team comparison

StatisticCharlton Athletic FCPortsmouth FC
Matches played76
Points per match1.291.33
Goals per match0.711.33
Goals conceded per match1.291.17
Home / away goals scored14
Home / away goals conceded03
Last 5 points35
Last 5 goals scored25
Last 5 goals conceded86
Win percentage29%33%

Charlton Athletic FC recent form

DLDDL

Portsmouth FC recent form

LLWDD

Recent form

Charlton Athletic FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Queens Park Rangers FC0–0
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–4
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1
  • Wvs Preston North End FC1–0
  • Wat West Ham United FC2–1

Portsmouth FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Cardiff City FC2–0
  • Lvs Derby County FC0–2
  • Lat Bristol City FC1–2
  • Wat Lincoln City FC3–1
  • Dvs Birmingham City FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.