Championship · Matchweek 12

Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Charlton Athletic FC win36%
Draw29%
Norwich City FC win35%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
39%
Under 2.5 goals
61%
BTTS yes
45%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
Over 3.5 goals
19%
BTTS no
55%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.11

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Charlton Athletic FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Norwich City FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Norwich City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.4%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 0–111.9%
  • 0–010.7%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 2–06.8%
  • 0–26.6%

Team comparison

StatisticCharlton Athletic FCNorwich City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.291.29
Goals per match0.712.14
Goals conceded per match1.292.14
Home / away goals scored16
Home / away goals conceded09
Last 5 points36
Last 5 goals scored211
Last 5 goals conceded811
Win percentage29%43%

Charlton Athletic FC recent form

DLDDL

Norwich City FC recent form

LWWLL

Recent form

Charlton Athletic FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Cardiff City FC1–3
  • Dvs Portsmouth FC0–0
  • Dvs Queens Park Rangers FC0–0
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–4
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1

Norwich City FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–4
  • Lat Middlesbrough FC3–4
  • Wvs Birmingham City FC2–1
  • Wat Sheffield United FC3–1
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.