Primeira Liga · Matchweek 3

CF Estrela da Amadora vs Sporting Clube de Braga Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Thu 10 Sept, 20:15 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CF Estrela da Amadora win31%
Draw22%
Sporting Clube de Braga win47%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
BTTS yes
67%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
45%
BTTS no
33%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.92

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour CF Estrela da Amadora, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.3%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–16.1%
  • 0–25.8%
  • 1–35.7%
  • 1–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticCF Estrela da AmadoraSporting Clube de Braga
Matches played55
Points per match1.602.00
Goals per match2.001.00
Goals conceded per match2.000.60
Home / away goals scored43
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points810
Last 5 goals scored105
Last 5 goals conceded103
Win percentage40%60%

CF Estrela da Amadora recent form

WDWDL

Sporting Clube de Braga recent form

WWLWD

Recent form

CF Estrela da Amadora

1W 1D 0L in the last 2 · 5 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs FC Famalicão2–2
  • Wat CD Nacional3–2

Sporting Clube de Braga

2W 0D 0L in the last 2 · 3 scored, 1 conceded

  • Wat FC Alverca2–1
  • Wvs Vitória SC1–0

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Thu 10 Sept, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 10 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.