Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 13
CD Nacional vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 15:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CD Nacional win8%
Draw12%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win80%
- Predicted score
- 0–3
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 0.95 – 3.16
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
CD Nacional have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sport Lisboa e Benfica have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sport Lisboa e Benfica's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–38.7%
- 1–38.2%
- 0–28.2%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–46.8%
- 1–46.5%
- 0–15.2%
- 1–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CD Nacional | Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.91 | 2.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 2.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.73 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 20 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 90% |
CD Nacional recent form
LLWLW
Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
CD Nacional
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Académico de Viseu FC1–0
- Lat FC Arouca0–1
- Wvs Sporting Clube de Braga1–0
- Lat Rio Ave FC2–3
- Lvs FC Famalicão0–4
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat CF Estrela da Amadora3–2
- Wvs FC Alverca1–0
- Wat CD Santa Clara2–1
- Wvs Vitória SC2–0
- Lat FC Porto1–3
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs FC Arouca
Home
40%
Draw
31%
Away
30%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 32%BTTS: 40%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.