Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 13
Sporting Clube de Braga vs FC Arouca Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 20:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sporting Clube de Braga win40%
Draw31%
FC Arouca win30%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 32%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 68%
- BTTS yes
- 40%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 60%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 14%
- BTTS no
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 1.10 – 0.90
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FC Arouca have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sporting Clube de Braga's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average. FC Arouca arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 0–013.5%
- 1–113.4%
- 0–112.2%
- 2–08.2%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–26.1%
- 0–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sporting Clube de Braga | FC Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 50% |
Sporting Clube de Braga recent form
LLLWW
FC Arouca recent form
DWWWL
Recent form
Sporting Clube de Braga
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Rio Ave FC1–0
- Wvs FC Famalicão3–0
- Lat CD Nacional0–1
- Lvs Gil Vicente FC1–2
- Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3
FC Arouca
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 3 conceded
- Lat FC Famalicão0–1
- Wvs CD Nacional1–0
- Wat FC Alverca1–0
- Wvs CF Estrela da Amadora1–0
- Dat Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.