Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 6
Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Casa Pia AC win3%
Draw7%
FC Porto win91%
- Predicted score
- 0–3
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 38%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 62%
- Expected goals
- 0.50 – 3.48
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Casa Pia AC's home attacking output as weaker than the Primeira Liga baseline. The model credits FC Porto with an above-average away defensive record. FC Porto carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–313.3%
- 0–411.5%
- 0–211.4%
- 0–58.0%
- 1–36.6%
- 0–16.6%
- 1–45.8%
- 1–25.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Casa Pia AC | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 9 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals per match | 0.60 | 2.56 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.90 | 0.56 |
| Home / away goals scored | 1 | 12 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 15 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 100% |
Casa Pia AC recent form
WLWLD
FC Porto recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Casa Pia AC
0W 1D 3L in the last 4 · 0 scored, 10 conceded
- Dat Vitória SC0–0
- Lvs Moreirense FC0–1
- Lat Gil Vicente FC0–2
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–7
FC Porto
3W 0D 1L in the last 4 · 7 scored, 3 conceded
- Lvs Manchester City FC0–2
- Wvs Moreirense FC2–1
- Wat Académico de Viseu FC3–0
- Wvs FC Arouca2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.