Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8

Casa Pia AC vs CD Santa Clara Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Casa Pia AC win7%
Draw13%
CD Santa Clara win80%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
0.69 – 2.72

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Casa Pia AC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. CD Santa Clara have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. CD Santa Clara arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–212.2%
  • 0–311.1%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–37.7%
  • 0–47.5%
  • 1–16.2%
  • 1–45.2%

Team comparison

StatisticCasa Pia ACCD Santa Clara
Matches played66
Points per match0.672.00
Goals per match0.501.67
Goals conceded per match2.500.67
Home / away goals scored13
Home / away goals conceded122
Last 5 points411
Last 5 goals scored38
Last 5 goals conceded82
Win percentage17%50%

Casa Pia AC recent form

LLDLW

CD Santa Clara recent form

WDWWD

Recent form

Casa Pia AC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat GD Estoril Praia2–1
  • Lvs FC Porto1–4
  • Dat Vitória SC0–0
  • Lvs Moreirense FC0–1
  • Lat Gil Vicente FC0–2

CD Santa Clara

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 2 conceded

  • Dvs Sporting Clube de Braga0–0
  • Wat FC Arouca2–1
  • Wvs Rio Ave FC4–0
  • Dat FC Alverca1–1
  • Wvs FC Famalicão1–0

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.