Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 10
Cardiff City FC vs Watford FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Cardiff City FC win55%
Draw27%
Watford FC win18%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 38%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 62%
- BTTS yes
- 40%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 65%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 18%
- BTTS no
- 60%
- Expected goals
- 1.47 – 0.73
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Cardiff City FC and Watford FC both sit close to the Championship statistical average, so the model's expectation is driven mainly by home advantage.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–016.3%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–111.9%
- 0–011.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.0%
- 3–05.9%
- 1–24.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Cardiff City FC | Watford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 15 |
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 0.87 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 1.53 |
| Home / away goals scored | 21 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 11 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 27% |
Cardiff City FC recent form
DWLDW
Watford FC recent form
WLLWD
Recent form
Cardiff City FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–1
- Lat Bolton Wanderers FC0–1
- Dvs Stoke City FC1–1
- Lat Portsmouth FC0–2
Watford FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 9 conceded
- Lvs Burnley FC0–4
- Lat Bristol City FC0–1
- Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
- Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
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Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
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Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.