Championship · Matchweek 10

Cardiff City FC vs Watford FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 13 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Cardiff City FC win53%
Draw27%
Watford FC win20%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes
40%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
60%
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.75

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Watford FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–016.2%
  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 2–011.4%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 3–05.4%
  • 1–24.6%

Team comparison

StatisticCardiff City FCWatford FC
Matches played88
Points per match0.881.00
Goals per match1.250.88
Goals conceded per match1.501.25
Home / away goals scored71
Home / away goals conceded55
Last 5 points43
Last 5 goals scored53
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage13%25%

Cardiff City FC recent form

LLDLW

Watford FC recent form

LLWLL

Recent form

Cardiff City FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–1
  • Lat Bolton Wanderers FC0–1
  • Dvs Stoke City FC1–1
  • Lat Portsmouth FC0–2
  • Lat Queens Park Rangers FC1–2

Watford FC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Bristol City FC0–1
  • Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
  • Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
  • Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
  • Lat Swansea City AFC0–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.