Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 6
Cardiff City FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 8 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Cardiff City FC win51%
Draw22%
Stoke City FC win27%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 2.01 – 1.41
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Stoke City FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–19.3%
- 2–06.6%
- 1–06.6%
- 2–26.6%
- 1–26.5%
- 3–16.2%
- 0–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Cardiff City FC | Stoke City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.07 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 1.64 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 1.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 21 | 12 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 11 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 64% |
Cardiff City FC recent form
DWLDW
Stoke City FC recent form
WDWWW
Recent form
Cardiff City FC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Portsmouth FC0–2
- Lat Queens Park Rangers FC1–2
- Dvs Sheffield United FC2–2
- Dat Derby County FC2–2
- Dvs Wrexham AFC1–1
Stoke City FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC4–0
- Wvs Norwich City FC1–0
- Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–4
- Lat Southampton FC1–3
- Lat Bristol City FC0–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 8 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
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Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
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Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.