Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 6
Cardiff City FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 8 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Cardiff City FC win51%
Draw22%
Stoke City FC win27%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 2.01 – 1.41
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Stoke City FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–19.3%
- 2–06.6%
- 1–06.6%
- 2–26.6%
- 1–26.5%
- 3–16.2%
- 0–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Cardiff City FC | Stoke City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.88 | 1.86 |
| Goals per match | 1.25 | 1.71 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 13% | 57% |
Cardiff City FC recent form
LLDLW
Stoke City FC recent form
WWDWW
Recent form
Cardiff City FC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Portsmouth FC0–2
- Lat Queens Park Rangers FC1–2
- Dvs Sheffield United FC2–2
- Dat Derby County FC2–2
- Dvs Wrexham AFC1–1
Stoke City FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC4–0
- Wvs Norwich City FC1–0
- Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–4
- Lat Southampton FC1–3
- Lat Bristol City FC0–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 8 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.