Championship · Matchweek 15

Cardiff City FC vs Burnley FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 15
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Cardiff City FC win61%
Draw18%
Burnley FC win21%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
2.54 – 1.44

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Cardiff City FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against Burnley FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Burnley FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.7%
  • 3–17.4%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 2–06.0%
  • 3–25.3%
  • 3–05.1%
  • 1–24.9%

Team comparison

StatisticCardiff City FCBurnley FC
Matches played1111
Points per match1.000.73
Goals per match1.641.45
Goals conceded per match1.551.91
Home / away goals scored128
Home / away goals conceded611
Last 5 points75
Last 5 goals scored119
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage18%9%

Cardiff City FC recent form

LWLWD

Burnley FC recent form

LDWDL

Recent form

Cardiff City FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat Middlesbrough FC2–2
  • Wvs Watford FC5–1
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers FC1–2
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–1
  • Lat Bolton Wanderers FC0–1

Burnley FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–2
  • Dvs Charlton Athletic FC2–2
  • Wat Watford FC4–0
  • Dvs Derby County FC1–1
  • Lat Swansea City AFC1–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
672
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
55.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.9%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.