Serie A · Matchweek 3

Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce Prediction

Mon 7 Sept, 17:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Mon 7 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Cagliari Calcio win29%

Draw28%

US Lecce win43%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 42%
Under 2.5 goals: 58%
BTTS yes: 47%

Over 1.5 goals: 68%
Over 3.5 goals: 21%
BTTS no: 53%
Expected goals: 1.03 – 1.33

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Cagliari Calcio have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Cagliari Calcio's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.9%
0–112.5%
1–09.8%
0–09.4%
1–28.6%
0–28.3%
2–16.7%
2–05.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	Cagliari Calcio	US Lecce
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.40	1.20
Goals per match	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded per match	0.40	2.00
Home / away goals scored	1	2
Home / away goals conceded	1	4
Last 5 points	12	6
Last 5 goals scored	5	5
Last 5 goals conceded	2	10
Win percentage	80%	40%

Cagliari Calcio recent form

WLWWW

US Lecce recent form

WLLWL

Recent form

Cagliari Calcio

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

Lvs Inter Milan0–1
Wat Parma Calcio 19131–0
Wat AC Milan2–1
Wvs Torino FC2–1
Lvs Udinese Calcio0–2

US Lecce

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs AS Roma0–4
Wat Venezia FC2–0
Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
Wat US Sassuolo Calcio3–2
Lvs Juventus0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 7 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.