Primera Division · Matchweek 5

CA Osasuna vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 15:15 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CA Osasuna win49%
Draw26%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win24%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.95

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees CA Osasuna's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given CA Osasuna's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.0%
  • 1–112.4%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–25.9%
  • 3–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticCA OsasunaRCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Matches played77
Points per match1.141.00
Goals per match0.861.43
Goals conceded per match1.861.43
Home / away goals scored24
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points44
Last 5 goals scored46
Last 5 goals conceded128
Win percentage29%29%

CA Osasuna recent form

WLLLD

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona recent form

LDWLL

Recent form

CA Osasuna

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Deportivo Alavés2–5
  • Wvs Getafe CF1–0
  • Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–1
  • Dvs Levante UD0–0
  • Lat Getafe CF0–1

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Sevilla FC1–1
  • Lat Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–2
  • Lvs Real Madrid1–2
  • Wvs Levante UD3–0
  • Dvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–1

Team news

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.