Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 7
CA Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 13:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
CA Osasuna win44%
Draw23%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.77 – 1.49
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
CA Osasuna have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–27.5%
- 1–06.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 2–06.0%
- 0–15.7%
- 3–15.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | CA Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.14 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.86 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 33% |
CA Osasuna recent form
WLLLD
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form
LWLWD
Recent form
CA Osasuna
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat Atlético Madrid0–4
- Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–2
- Lat Deportivo Alavés2–5
- Wvs Getafe CF1–0
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded
- Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
- Lat Real Madrid1–4
- Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander3–2
- Lat Barcelona2–5
- Dvs Deportivo Alavés1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.