Championship · Matchweek 11

Burnley FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Burnley FC win35%
Draw23%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win42%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.71

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–17.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 0–16.7%
  • 1–06.0%
  • 0–25.7%
  • 1–35.0%

Team comparison

StatisticBurnley FCWolverhampton Wanderers FC
Matches played1514
Points per match0.671.93
Goals per match1.471.71
Goals conceded per match2.071.14
Home / away goals scored813
Home / away goals conceded1011
Last 5 points211
Last 5 goals scored78
Last 5 goals conceded123
Win percentage7%57%

Burnley FC recent form

LLDDL

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC recent form

DWWWD

Recent form

Burnley FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs Charlton Athletic FC2–2
  • Wat Watford FC4–0
  • Dvs Derby County FC1–1
  • Lat Swansea City AFC1–3
  • Dat Wrexham AFC1–1

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers FC1–3
  • Lat Middlesbrough FC0–1
  • Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC1–0
  • Wat Sheffield United FC1–0
  • Dat Birmingham City FC2–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 25 September 2026
Last updated: 16 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.