Championship · Matchweek 11

Burnley FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 16 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Burnley FC win23%
Draw20%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win57%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
1.30 – 2.16

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Burnley FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.5%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 0–27.3%
  • 1–36.9%
  • 0–16.8%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 2–15.7%
  • 0–35.3%

Team comparison

StatisticBurnley FCWolverhampton Wanderers FC
Matches played86
Points per match0.502.17
Goals per match1.132.17
Goals conceded per match2.131.33
Home / away goals scored58
Home / away goals conceded67
Last 5 points310
Last 5 goals scored510
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage0%67%

Burnley FC recent form

DLDLD

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC recent form

WLDWW

Recent form

Burnley FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Derby County FC1–1
  • Lat Swansea City AFC1–3
  • Dat Wrexham AFC1–1
  • Lvs Bristol City FC1–2
  • Dvs Middlesbrough FC1–1

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC1–0
  • Wat Sheffield United FC1–0
  • Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
  • Lat West Ham United FC2–4
  • Wvs Stoke City FC4–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 25 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.