Championship · Matchweek 16

Burnley FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 22 Nov, 12:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 16
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Burnley FC win36%
Draw25%
Blackburn Rovers FC win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.50

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Burnley FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 0–26.0%
  • 2–05.4%

Team comparison

StatisticBurnley FCBlackburn Rovers FC
Matches played1514
Points per match0.671.43
Goals per match1.471.43
Goals conceded per match2.071.50
Home / away goals scored86
Home / away goals conceded1011
Last 5 points26
Last 5 goals scored77
Last 5 goals conceded1210
Win percentage7%43%

Burnley FC recent form

LLDDL

Blackburn Rovers FC recent form

LWLLW

Recent form

Burnley FC

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat Cardiff City FC4–5
  • Dat Queens Park Rangers FC1–1
  • Dvs Portsmouth FC0–0
  • Lat Lincoln City FC1–4
  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–2

Blackburn Rovers FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs West Ham United FC2–1
  • Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
  • Lat Swansea City AFC0–4
  • Wvs Wrexham AFC2–0
  • Lat West Bromwich Albion FC2–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.