Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 17
Burnley FC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 25 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 17
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Burnley FC win14%
Draw19%
Birmingham City FC win68%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS yes
- 53%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 47%
- Expected goals
- 0.89 – 2.24
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Burnley FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model credits Birmingham City FC with an above-average away defensive record. Birmingham City FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.0%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–18.7%
- 0–38.2%
- 1–37.3%
- 0–44.6%
- 0–04.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Burnley FC | Birmingham City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 14 |
| Points per match | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.47 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.07 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 7% | 57% |
Burnley FC recent form
LLDDL
Birmingham City FC recent form
WLWWW
Recent form
Burnley FC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat Cardiff City FC4–5
- Dat Queens Park Rangers FC1–1
- Dvs Portsmouth FC0–0
- Lat Lincoln City FC1–4
- Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–2
Birmingham City FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Swansea City AFC2–1
- Wvs Millwall FC3–0
- Wat Lincoln City FC3–1
- Lat Cardiff City FC0–1
- Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.