Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 8
Bristol City FC vs Watford FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 18 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Bristol City FC win53%
Draw26%
Watford FC win21%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS yes
- 43%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 67%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS no
- 57%
- Expected goals
- 1.49 – 0.82
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Bristol City FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model credits Watford FC with an above-average away defensive record. Recent results also favour Bristol City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.9%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–011.1%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.2%
- 3–05.5%
- 1–24.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bristol City FC | Watford FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 15 |
| Points per match | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.14 | 0.87 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.57 | 1.53 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 27% |
Bristol City FC recent form
LDWLL
Watford FC recent form
WLLWD
Recent form
Bristol City FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
- Lat Southampton FC1–4
- Wat Burnley FC2–1
- Wat Preston North End FC3–1
- Wvs Portsmouth FC2–1
Watford FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
- Wvs Preston North End FC2–1
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
- Lat Swansea City AFC0–2
- Dvs West Ham United FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 August 2026
Last updated: 18 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.