Championship · Matchweek 6

Bristol City FC vs Lincoln City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 15 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bristol City FC win40%
Draw27%
Lincoln City FC win33%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.16

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Lincoln City FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Recent results also favour Bristol City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 0–25.8%

Team comparison

StatisticBristol City FCLincoln City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.861.57
Goals per match1.570.86
Goals conceded per match1.430.86
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded20
Last 5 points98
Last 5 goals scored74
Last 5 goals conceded73
Win percentage57%43%

Bristol City FC recent form

WWLLW

Lincoln City FC recent form

DDWWL

Recent form

Bristol City FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Southampton FC1–4
  • Wat Burnley FC2–1
  • Wat Preston North End FC3–1
  • Wvs Portsmouth FC2–1
  • Dat Birmingham City FC2–2

Lincoln City FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wat Preston North End FC1–0
  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1
  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC0–0
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers FC1–0
  • Lvs Portsmouth FC1–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 15 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.