UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 1

Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 8 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Tue 8 Sept, 21:00 (CEST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
Dortmund, Germany

United Matchday prediction

Borussia Dortmund win77%
Draw15%
Villarreal CF win8%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
43%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
57%
Expected goals
2.40 – 0.63

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.9%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 3–011.1%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 3–17.0%
  • 4–06.7%
  • 0–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticBorussia DortmundVillarreal CF
Matches played11
Points per match3.000.00
Goals per match3.002.00
Goals conceded per match2.003.00
Home / away goals scored32
Home / away goals conceded23
Last 5 points30
Last 5 goals scored32
Last 5 goals conceded23
Win percentage100%0%

Borussia Dortmund recent form

W

Villarreal CF recent form

L

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
  • Wvs Hamburger SV2–0
  • Wat SV Werder Bremen2–0
  • Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–2
  • Lat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–1

Villarreal CF

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs RC Deportivo La Coruña2–3
  • Lat Deportivo Alavés0–1
  • Dat Atlético Madrid2–2
  • Dat Real Racing Club de Santander2–2
  • Wvs Atlético Madrid5–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 8 Sept, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 8 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.