Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 9
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Stoke City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Bolton Wanderers FC win35%
Draw23%
Stoke City FC win42%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 1.61 – 1.76
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Bolton Wanderers FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Stoke City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.1%
- 1–05.5%
- 0–25.4%
- 1–35.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bolton Wanderers FC | Stoke City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.86 |
| Goals per match | 1.29 | 1.71 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.43 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 13 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 57% |
Bolton Wanderers FC recent form
LLLWW
Stoke City FC recent form
WWDWW
Recent form
Bolton Wanderers FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded
- Wat Norwich City FC4–3
- Wvs Cardiff City FC1–0
- Lvs West Ham United FC2–3
- Lat Millwall FC0–4
- Lat Sheffield United FC2–3
Stoke City FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Sheffield United FC2–1
- Wat Watford FC2–1
- Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC4–0
- Wvs Norwich City FC1–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Championship
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.