Championship · Matchweek 16

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 16
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bolton Wanderers FC win19%
Draw23%
Portsmouth FC win58%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
0.90 – 1.75

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Bolton Wanderers FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model credits Portsmouth FC with an above-average away defensive record.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.4%
  • 1–111.1%
  • 0–210.9%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–07.1%
  • 1–06.4%
  • 0–36.3%
  • 1–35.7%

Team comparison

StatisticBolton Wanderers FCPortsmouth FC
Matches played1414
Points per match1.001.57
Goals per match1.291.36
Goals conceded per match2.001.07
Home / away goals scored76
Home / away goals conceded145
Last 5 points48
Last 5 goals scored57
Last 5 goals conceded115
Win percentage29%43%

Bolton Wanderers FC recent form

DLLWL

Portsmouth FC recent form

DWDWL

Recent form

Bolton Wanderers FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Derby County FC1–3
  • Wat Charlton Athletic FC1–0
  • Lvs Bristol City FC2–3
  • Lvs Middlesbrough FC1–5
  • Dat Southampton FC0–0

Portsmouth FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
  • Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
  • Dat Burnley FC0–0
  • Wvs Millwall FC2–1
  • Dat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.