Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 7
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Cardiff City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Bolton Wanderers FC win36%
Draw25%
Cardiff City FC win39%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.34 – 1.42
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Bolton Wanderers FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–26.3%
- 0–06.3%
- 2–25.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bolton Wanderers FC | Cardiff City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 15 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals per match | 1.29 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 14 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 27% |
Bolton Wanderers FC recent form
DLLWL
Cardiff City FC recent form
DWLDW
Recent form
Bolton Wanderers FC
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded
- Lvs West Ham United FC2–3
- Lat Millwall FC0–4
- Lat Sheffield United FC2–3
- Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
- Dat Queens Park Rangers FC0–0
Cardiff City FC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded
- Dvs Stoke City FC1–1
- Lat Portsmouth FC0–2
- Lat Queens Park Rangers FC1–2
- Dvs Sheffield United FC2–2
- Dat Derby County FC2–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
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Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
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Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.