Championship · Matchweek 7

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Cardiff City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bolton Wanderers FC win36%
Draw25%
Cardiff City FC win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.42

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Bolton Wanderers FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–28.5%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 0–26.3%
  • 0–06.3%
  • 2–25.7%

Team comparison

StatisticBolton Wanderers FCCardiff City FC
Matches played78
Points per match1.000.88
Goals per match1.291.25
Goals conceded per match2.001.50
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded47
Last 5 points64
Last 5 goals scored95
Last 5 goals conceded137
Win percentage29%13%

Bolton Wanderers FC recent form

LLLWW

Cardiff City FC recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Bolton Wanderers FC

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs West Ham United FC2–3
  • Lat Millwall FC0–4
  • Lat Sheffield United FC2–3
  • Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
  • Dat Queens Park Rangers FC0–0

Cardiff City FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dvs Stoke City FC1–1
  • Lat Portsmouth FC0–2
  • Lat Queens Park Rangers FC1–2
  • Dvs Sheffield United FC2–2
  • Dat Derby County FC2–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.