Serie A · Matchweek 5

Bologna FC 1909 vs Torino FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bologna FC 1909 win36%
Draw27%
Torino FC win37%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes
51%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Over 3.5 goals
24%
BTTS no
49%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.27

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Bologna FC 1909's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 0–08.1%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 0–26.6%
  • 2–06.2%

Team comparison

StatisticBologna FC 1909Torino FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.400.80
Goals per match0.601.00
Goals conceded per match1.201.60
Home / away goals scored34
Home / away goals conceded44
Last 5 points24
Last 5 goals scored35
Last 5 goals conceded68
Win percentage0%20%

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LLDLD

Torino FC recent form

LLWLD

Recent form

Bologna FC 1909

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat SSC Napoli0–1
  • Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
  • Lat Atalanta BC0–1
  • Lvs SS Lazio0–1
  • Dvs Inter Milan3–3

Torino FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs AS Roma0–2
  • Wat ACF Fiorentina2–1
  • Lat US Sassuolo Calcio1–2
  • Lvs AC Milan1–2
  • Dvs Juventus2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.