Serie A · Matchweek 7

Bologna FC 1909 vs Inter Milan Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bologna FC 1909 win18%
Draw21%
Inter Milan win61%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals
43%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
0.99 – 2.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Bologna FC 1909 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Inter Milan's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Inter Milan arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–110.1%
  • 0–210.0%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 1–210.0%
  • 0–36.7%
  • 1–36.6%
  • 0–05.0%
  • 1–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticBologna FC 1909Inter Milan
Matches played55
Points per match0.402.60
Goals per match0.603.00
Goals conceded per match1.201.60
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded42
Last 5 points213
Last 5 goals scored315
Last 5 goals conceded68
Win percentage0%80%

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LLDLD

Inter Milan recent form

WWWWD

Recent form

Bologna FC 1909

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Torino FC1–1
  • Lat SSC Napoli0–1
  • Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
  • Lat Atalanta BC0–1
  • Lvs SS Lazio0–1

Inter Milan

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dat AS Roma2–2
  • Wvs Udinese Calcio5–3
  • Lat Real Madrid1–2
  • Wvs SSC Napoli3–2
  • Wat Cagliari Calcio1–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.