Serie A · Matchweek 7

Bologna FC 1909 vs Inter Milan Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bologna FC 1909 win19%
Draw21%
Inter Milan win60%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.05 – 2.01

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Bologna FC 1909 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Inter Milan have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Inter Milan's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.9%
  • 0–29.5%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–36.7%
  • 0–36.4%
  • 2–25.2%
  • 2–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticBologna FC 1909Inter Milan
Matches played1111
Points per match1.552.55
Goals per match1.452.55
Goals conceded per match1.271.18
Home / away goals scored69
Home / away goals conceded86
Last 5 points1212
Last 5 goals scored1110
Last 5 goals conceded75
Win percentage45%82%

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LWWWW

Inter Milan recent form

WWWLW

Recent form

Bologna FC 1909

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat US Lecce2–1
  • Dvs Torino FC1–1
  • Lat SSC Napoli0–1
  • Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
  • Lat Atalanta BC0–1

Inter Milan

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Club Brugge KV3–4
  • Wvs Parma Calcio 19133–0
  • Dat AS Roma2–2
  • Wvs Udinese Calcio5–3
  • Lat Real Madrid1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.