Serie A · Matchweek 14

Bologna FC 1909 vs AS Roma Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 4 Dec, 19:45 (GMT)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bologna FC 1909 win16%
Draw16%
AS Roma win67%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
1.33 – 2.76

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AS Roma have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AS Roma's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.5%
  • 1–37.8%
  • 0–26.4%
  • 1–16.2%
  • 0–35.9%
  • 2–25.6%
  • 1–45.4%
  • 2–35.2%

Team comparison

StatisticBologna FC 1909AS Roma
Matches played1111
Points per match1.552.45
Goals per match1.452.82
Goals conceded per match1.270.91
Home / away goals scored614
Home / away goals conceded85
Last 5 points1213
Last 5 goals scored1117
Last 5 goals conceded77
Win percentage45%73%

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LWWWW

AS Roma recent form

WDWWW

Recent form

Bologna FC 1909

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Parma Calcio 19132–1
  • Wvs AC Monza2–1
  • Wat AC Milan4–2
  • Wat Cagliari Calcio2–0
  • Lvs Inter Milan1–3

AS Roma

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio3–0
  • Lat Manchester United FC2–3
  • Wat Udinese Calcio5–2
  • Wvs Cagliari Calcio4–2
  • Dat SSC Napoli3–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 4 Dec, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.