Championship
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Middlesbrough FC
Home
29%
Draw
22%
Away
48%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 15
Birmingham City FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 15
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Birmingham City FC win44%
Draw23%
Swansea City AFC win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.74 – 1.48
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Birmingham City FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. The model credits Swansea City AFC with an above-average away defensive record. Swansea City AFC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–27.6%
- 1–06.9%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–06.0%
- 0–15.9%
- 3–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Birmingham City FC | Swansea City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.90 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 14 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 60% |
Birmingham City FC recent form
WDWWW
Swansea City AFC recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
Birmingham City FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0
- Wvs Preston North End FC4–0
- Wat West Bromwich Albion FC1–0
- Dvs Middlesbrough FC2–2
- Wat Derby County FC2–1
Swansea City AFC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded
- Lvs West Ham United FC0–1
- Wat Millwall FC1–0
- Wvs Norwich City FC2–1
- Wat Lincoln City FC2–1
- Wvs Burnley FC3–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 672
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 57.9%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
Portsmouth FC vs Millwall FC
Home
52%
Draw
22%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 66%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC
Home
51%
Draw
22%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 63%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Sheffield United FC vs Wrexham AFC
Home
46%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 59%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.