Championship · Matchweek 8

Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Birmingham City FC win35%
Draw23%
Middlesbrough FC win41%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.67

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Middlesbrough FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Middlesbrough FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 0–16.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–06.2%
  • 0–25.7%
  • 1–34.8%

Team comparison

StatisticBirmingham City FCMiddlesbrough FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.431.71
Goals per match1.712.00
Goals conceded per match1.571.57
Home / away goals scored75
Home / away goals conceded75
Last 5 points69
Last 5 goals scored810
Last 5 goals conceded88
Win percentage29%43%

Birmingham City FC recent form

DDLWD

Middlesbrough FC recent form

DWWDD

Recent form

Birmingham City FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Derby County FC2–1
  • Lat Norwich City FC1–2
  • Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC2–2
  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1
  • Wat Wrexham AFC2–1

Middlesbrough FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs Millwall FC2–2
  • Wvs Norwich City FC4–3
  • Wat Queens Park Rangers FC1–0
  • Dat Burnley FC1–1
  • Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC3–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.