Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 8
Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Birmingham City FC win35%
Draw23%
Middlesbrough FC win41%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.53 – 1.67
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Middlesbrough FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Middlesbrough FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–18.0%
- 0–16.8%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.2%
- 0–25.7%
- 1–34.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Birmingham City FC | Middlesbrough FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 14 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Home / away goals scored | 19 | 13 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 11 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 57% | 50% |
Birmingham City FC recent form
WLWWW
Middlesbrough FC recent form
DWWLD
Recent form
Birmingham City FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Wat Derby County FC2–1
- Lat Norwich City FC1–2
- Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC2–2
- Dvs Southampton FC1–1
- Wat Wrexham AFC2–1
Middlesbrough FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded
- Dvs Millwall FC2–2
- Wvs Norwich City FC4–3
- Wat Queens Park Rangers FC1–0
- Dat Burnley FC1–1
- Wvs West Bromwich Albion FC3–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
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Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
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Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.