Championship · Matchweek 18

Birmingham City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 18
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Birmingham City FC win75%
Draw15%
Bolton Wanderers FC win11%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Under 2.5 goals
28%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
2.75 – 0.97

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Birmingham City FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects fewer away goals given Birmingham City FC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Birmingham City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.1%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 3–08.4%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 1–06.6%
  • 1–16.5%
  • 4–05.8%
  • 4–15.6%

Team comparison

StatisticBirmingham City FCBolton Wanderers FC
Matches played1414
Points per match2.001.00
Goals per match2.001.29
Goals conceded per match1.002.00
Home / away goals scored1911
Home / away goals conceded814
Last 5 points124
Last 5 goals scored115
Last 5 goals conceded311
Win percentage57%29%

Birmingham City FC recent form

WLWWW

Bolton Wanderers FC recent form

DLLWL

Recent form

Birmingham City FC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Swansea City AFC2–1
  • Wvs Millwall FC3–0
  • Wat Lincoln City FC3–1
  • Lat Cardiff City FC0–1
  • Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0

Bolton Wanderers FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Derby County FC1–3
  • Wat Charlton Athletic FC1–0
  • Lvs Bristol City FC2–3
  • Lvs Middlesbrough FC1–5
  • Dat Southampton FC0–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.