Eredivisie · Matchweek 6

AZ vs Willem II Tilburg Prediction

Fri 11 Sept, 19:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 11 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AZ win73%

Draw13%

Willem II Tilburg win14%

Predicted score: 3–1
Over 2.5 goals: 91%
Under 2.5 goals: 9%
BTTS yes: 80%

Over 1.5 goals: 97%
Over 3.5 goals: 79%
BTTS no: 20%
Expected goals: 3.70 – 1.72

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AZ have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. AZ's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour AZ, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

3–16.5%
4–16.0%
3–25.6%
2–15.3%
4–25.2%
2–24.6%
5–14.5%
5–23.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	AZ	Willem II Tilburg
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.60	0.40
Goals per match	2.40	0.80
Goals conceded per match	1.00	2.40
Home / away goals scored	7	2
Home / away goals conceded	3	6
Last 5 points	13	2
Last 5 goals scored	12	4
Last 5 goals conceded	5	12
Win percentage	80%	0%

AZ recent form

WWWDW

Willem II Tilburg recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

AZ

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 8 conceded

Wat SC Heerenveen3–2
Wvs Go Ahead Eagles5–2
Wat Fortuna Sittard2–0
Dvs NAC Breda3–3
Dat Feyenoord Rotterdam1–1

Willem II Tilburg

0W 1D 1L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 5 conceded

Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3
Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.