Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 7
AZ vs Telstar 1963 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AZ win64%
Draw19%
Telstar 1963 win17%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 2.25 – 1.08
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour AZ, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Telstar 1963 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AZ's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.1%
- 1–18.7%
- 1–08.1%
- 3–17.3%
- 3–06.8%
- 2–25.3%
- 1–24.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AZ | Telstar 1963 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.70 | 0.70 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 2.10 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 10% |
AZ recent form
LDLLW
Telstar 1963 recent form
DLLWD
Recent form
AZ
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 8 conceded
- Dvs Willem II Tilburg1–1
- Wat SC Heerenveen3–2
- Wvs Go Ahead Eagles5–2
- Wat Fortuna Sittard2–0
- Dvs NAC Breda3–3
Telstar 1963
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded
- Dat SC Heerenveen0–0
- Lat FC Twente '650–1
- Dvs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden2–2
- Lvs AFC Ajax0–4
- Wat FC Volendam2–1
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 13:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Eredivisie
FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
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Eredivisie
SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.