Eredivisie · Matchweek 12

AZ vs FC Groningen Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 8 Nov, 15:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AZ win49%
Draw20%
FC Groningen win31%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
60%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
2.33 – 1.83

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Groningen carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.7%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–16.6%
  • 1–26.1%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 3–25.5%
  • 2–34.3%
  • 2–04.2%

Team comparison

StatisticAZFC Groningen
Matches played78
Points per match2.001.38
Goals per match2.002.50
Goals conceded per match1.292.25
Home / away goals scored711
Home / away goals conceded38
Last 5 points88
Last 5 goals scored713
Last 5 goals conceded79
Win percentage57%38%

AZ recent form

WDWLD

FC Groningen recent form

DDWWL

Recent form

AZ

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden2–2
  • Lat Feyenoord Rotterdam0–2
  • Wvs Telstar 19631–0
  • Dvs Willem II Tilburg1–1
  • Wat SC Heerenveen3–2

FC Groningen

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs AFC Ajax2–5
  • Wat SBV Excelsior5–1
  • Wvs PEC Zwolle3–0
  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles1–1
  • Dvs FC Twente '652–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
703
1X2 accuracy
47.9%
BTTS accuracy
55.8%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.2%
Exact score
10.5%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.