Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 15
Athletic Club vs Real Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 6 Dec, 00:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 15
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Athletic Club win23%
Draw22%
Real Madrid win55%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS yes
- 58%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS no
- 42%
- Expected goals
- 1.14 – 1.89
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Real Madrid with an above-average away defensive record. Real Madrid carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Real Madrid arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–36.2%
- 2–16.0%
- 2–25.6%
- 1–05.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Athletic Club | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 12 |
| Points per match | 1.45 | 2.50 |
| Goals per match | 1.36 | 2.58 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 14 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 83% |
Athletic Club recent form
DLWWD
Real Madrid recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Athletic Club
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat CA Osasuna1–1
- Wvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–1
- Wvs Getafe CF4–0
- Lat Levante UD1–3
- Dat Valencia CF0–0
Real Madrid
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Valencia CF3–0
- Wat PAE AEK3–2
- Wat Real Racing Club de Santander3–0
- Wat Barcelona2–1
- Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
Team news
Real Madrid
- Transfer rumors, news: Atlético Madrid weigh move for Jack Grealish
- Arsenal's Martin Zubimendi denies wanting to leave amid Atlético Madrid links
- Real Madrid pushing for JJ Gabriel as saga continues - Manchester United Academy Notebook
- JJ Gabriel comment ‘shocks Real Madrid’ as concern raised about Man United star’s dad
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 15 November 2026
Last updated: 15 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés
Home
92%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
- Predicted score: 3–0Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 40%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Getafe CF vs Valencia CF
Home
42%
Draw
30%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 35%BTTS: 42%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Barcelona vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
81%
Draw
13%
Away
6%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 42%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.