Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 5
Athletic Club vs Elche CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Athletic Club win59%
Draw20%
Elche CF win21%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 2.18 – 1.24
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Elche CF have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–07.1%
- 3–17.0%
- 2–26.0%
- 3–05.7%
- 1–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Athletic Club | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 0.71 |
| Goals per match | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.43 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 14% |
Athletic Club recent form
LWWDD
Elche CF recent form
LLDLW
Recent form
Athletic Club
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Atlético Madrid3–0
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–0
- Lat Barcelona0–2
- Lvs Sevilla FC1–3
- Lat Real Madrid2–4
Elche CF
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander2–3
- Lvs Barcelona0–5
- Dat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
- Dat Girona FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.