Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 5
Athletic Club vs Elche CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Athletic Club win59%
Draw20%
Elche CF win21%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 2.18 – 1.24
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Elche CF have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–07.1%
- 3–17.0%
- 2–26.0%
- 3–05.7%
- 1–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Athletic Club | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 12 |
| Points per match | 1.45 | 0.83 |
| Goals per match | 1.36 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 17% |
Athletic Club recent form
DLWWD
Elche CF recent form
DDWLL
Recent form
Athletic Club
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Atlético Madrid3–0
- Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–0
- Lat Barcelona0–2
- Lvs Sevilla FC1–3
- Lat Real Madrid2–4
Elche CF
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander2–3
- Lvs Barcelona0–5
- Dat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
- Dat Girona FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
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CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.