Primera Division · Matchweek 7

Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 15:15 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Athletic Club win45%
Draw25%
Deportivo Alavés win31%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.29

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 1–27.4%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 0–05.6%

Team comparison

StatisticAthletic ClubDeportivo Alavés
Matches played1111
Points per match1.450.91
Goals per match1.361.09
Goals conceded per match1.001.55
Home / away goals scored114
Home / away goals conceded511
Last 5 points82
Last 5 goals scored84
Last 5 goals conceded511
Win percentage36%18%

Athletic Club recent form

DLWWD

Deportivo Alavés recent form

LLDLD

Recent form

Athletic Club

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Elche CF1–1
  • Wvs Atlético Madrid3–0
  • Wat RC Celta de Vigo2–0
  • Lat Barcelona0–2
  • Lvs Sevilla FC1–3

Deportivo Alavés

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lvs Valencia CF0–1
  • Lat Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
  • Wvs CA Osasuna5–2
  • Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
  • Dat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.