Serie A · Matchweek 12

Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 22 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Atalanta BC win19%
Draw18%
Inter Milan win62%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
54%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
1.36 – 2.51

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Inter Milan with an above-average away defensive record. Inter Milan carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Inter Milan arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–37.5%
  • 1–17.1%
  • 0–26.6%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 0–35.5%
  • 0–15.2%
  • 2–35.1%

Team comparison

StatisticAtalanta BCInter Milan
Matches played1111
Points per match1.272.55
Goals per match1.552.55
Goals conceded per match1.821.18
Home / away goals scored119
Home / away goals conceded116
Last 5 points512
Last 5 goals scored910
Last 5 goals conceded125
Win percentage36%82%

Atalanta BC recent form

LDDLW

Inter Milan recent form

WWWLW

Recent form

Atalanta BC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wat AC Monza1–0
  • Lvs Parma Calcio 19130–3
  • Dat ACF Fiorentina2–2
  • Dvs Frosinone Calcio4–4
  • Lat AC Milan2–3

Inter Milan

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Como 19072–0
  • Wat Feyenoord Rotterdam3–0
  • Lat AC Milan1–3
  • Wat Venezia FC2–0
  • Wvs ACF Fiorentina2–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.