Serie A · Matchweek 4

Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Atalanta BC win37%

Draw29%

Cagliari Calcio win34%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 38%
Under 2.5 goals: 62%
BTTS yes: 45%

Over 1.5 goals: 65%
Over 3.5 goals: 18%
BTTS no: 55%
Expected goals: 1.14 – 1.08

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Cagliari Calcio with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Atalanta BC's home defensive numbers. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–113.4%
1–012.4%
0–111.8%
0–010.9%
2–17.6%
1–27.2%
2–07.0%
0–26.3%

Team comparison

Statistic	Atalanta BC	Cagliari Calcio
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.20	2.40
Goals per match	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded per match	1.40	0.40
Home / away goals scored	4	4
Home / away goals conceded	3	1
Last 5 points	6	12
Last 5 goals scored	5	5
Last 5 goals conceded	7	2
Win percentage	40%	80%

Atalanta BC recent form

WWLLL

Cagliari Calcio recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

Atalanta BC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

Lat AS Roma1–2
Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
Lvs Bologna FC 19090–1

Cagliari Calcio

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

Wvs US Lecce1–0
Lvs Inter Milan0–1
Wat Parma Calcio 19131–0
Wat AC Milan2–1
Wvs Torino FC2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.