UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

Aston Villa FC vs Viking FK Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
Villa Park, Birmingham, England

United Matchday prediction

Aston Villa FC win87%
Draw7%
Viking FK win5%
Predicted score
4–1
Over 2.5 goals
91%
Under 2.5 goals
9%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
97%
Over 3.5 goals
78%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
4.29 – 1.15

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Aston Villa FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects fewer away goals given Aston Villa FC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Aston Villa FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 4–17.3%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 4–06.3%
  • 5–16.2%
  • 3–05.9%
  • 5–05.4%
  • 2–14.7%
  • 6–14.5%

Team comparison

StatisticAston Villa FCViking FK
Matches played44
Points per match2.251.00
Goals per match3.002.25
Goals conceded per match1.502.50
Home / away goals scored92
Home / away goals conceded16
Last 5 points94
Last 5 goals scored129
Last 5 goals conceded610
Win percentage75%25%

Aston Villa FC recent form

WWWL

Viking FK recent form

LDLW

Recent form

Aston Villa FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Newcastle United FC1–0
  • Wvs Fenerbahçe SK6–0
  • Dvs Brentford FC2–2
  • Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC3–2
  • Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–2

Viking FK

0W 1D 1L in the last 2 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Bayern Munich3–3
  • Lat VfB Stuttgart1–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 September 2026
Last updated: 21 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.